Analysts at JPMorgan recommended selling or "underweight" emerging market local currency sovereign debt because of the global impact of the Ukraine-Russia crisis.
JPMorgan estimated that fixed-income assets in emerging markets have lost 6-9 percent of their value since Russia invaded Ukraine a month ago, with nervousness about the war and its impact on global energy and food prices adding to existing pressures.
Some leading emerging market central banks are signaling that interest rates now need to rise faster than previously expected, which fuels fears of "stagflation". Stagflation means when high inflation and higher interest rates undermine economic growth.
With both the U.S. Federal Reserve and emerging market central banks raising interest rates, JPMorgan also said it made sense to "underweight" emerging market assets by taking advantage of the recent pullback in local currency bond yields relative to TREASURIES.
JPMorgan said major metals exporters such as South Africa, Chile, and Peru could still do well, but warned that emerging market fixed income assets now faced a more "stagflationary" trajectory.
The markets and prices of many commodities, metals, chemicals like the Nitinol Alloy still face uncertainty.
What is Nitinol?
The tensile strength of Nitinol can reach 1000 MPa. That is to say, it takes more than 100 dry grams of force per square millimeter to break it, which is stronger than ordinary steel, and also has good "memory" performance and corrosion resistance.
Nitinol contains 50% nickel and 50% titanium, that is, the components of nickel and titanium are equally divided, each accounting for half. The temperature range of its shape memory can be adjusted by controlling the composition. In general, the higher the nickel content of Nitinol, the lower the operating temperature. When the nickel content is 55% and the titanium content is 45%, the memory alloy can work at room temperature.
People have used this feature of memory alloys to make pearl necklaces and bracelets made of memory alloy wires, as well as bras woven with memory alloy wires. When these decorations and health care products are worn on the body, they will restore their original curvature and stiffness under the action of human body temperature, thus playing a role in decoration and health care. In addition, the orthodontic wire can also be made of Nitinol alloy, which can use the temperature of the human mouth to correct the deformed teeth.
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The development of the Russia-Ukraine conflict will continue to dominate the commodity prices such as the Nitinol Alloy in the future. If the conflict eases or cools, Russia and Ukraine go back to negotiate, commodity prices would fall. However, if the situation between Russia and Ukraine deteriorates further, or evolves into a full-scale war, the price of the Nitinol Alloy is predicted to see further improvement over the coming days.
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